The Weekly
Election 2019 - A Twitter Analysis on Indigenous Matters
[Sept. 11th - Sept. 20th]

By: Jean-François Savard, Mathieu Landriault et Emmanuel Saël

Supported by the Digital Ecosystem Research Challenge

At glance

In this weekly report from September 21 to 27, 2019, we continue to analyze the place of indigenous issues in the debates conducted by candidates of the different political parties through Twitter. This report, which is part of an ongoing analysis process related to the election campaign, will lead us to make comparisons with last week’s report. Indeed, if for the week of September 11 to 20 the most popular words were santé in French and rights in English, this week the most popular words are communities in English and crise in French.

Mots les plus populaires:
Rights
Santé

 

Mots-clics les plus populaires:
elxn43
ChoisirDavancer

     

Number of Tweets

In the number of tweets published this week by candidates from the different parties, we can see a simlar trend in comparison with last week. Indeed, the New Democratic Party (NDP) remains in first place with a significant gap with other parties. Nevertheless, there is a decrease of about 10% in the number of NDP tweets compared to the previous week. This decrease should also be highlighted in the case of the Green Party, the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party. So, overall, the number of tweets related to Indigenous issues has decreased compared to the previous week. However, it should be noted that we covered a longer period in our first report (September 11 to 20) compared to this one (September 21 to 27). We also note that this week the Green Party published slightly more tweets than the Liberal Party, whereas they were almost equal in the first week. Indigenous issues are still not really taken into consideration by the Conservative Party, although it has the largest number of candidates with Twitter accounts. For the Bloc Québécois, it is clear that the trend is continuing with little involvement of its candidates on these issues.

The New Democratic Party has maintained its gap with the other parties for every day as shown in the graph below. In addition, on September 24, there was a significant increase in the number of tweets for the New Democratic Party, the Liberal Party and the Green Party. It should be noted that the Liberals and Conservatives released their climate proposal on September 24, which would eventually explain the peak on the graph. The number of tweets subsequently decreased for the Liberal Party and the Green Party on September 25, while for the New Democratic Party the number of tweets continued to increase before decreasing on September 26. This is because it was in the day that the NDP criticized the Liberal and Conservative proposals. The Conservative Party, which does not produce a large number of tweets, maintains a relatively similar daily trend.

Apart from September, 24th, for which the peak in the number of tweets had already been highlighted, the daily trend is fairly stable. The still significant level of tweets that continue to be observed after September, 24th is certainly due to the dramatic rise in the number of New Democratic Party tweets between September 22 and 25.

Number of Tweets by Province

As in the previous week, the trend continues for the provinces in which candidates publish the most tweets on Indigenous issues. Indeed, candidates from Ontario and British Columbia continue to pay considerable attention to Indigenous issues. It must be kept in mind that Ontario is the province where the New Democratic Party is most represented in terms of candidates. There has also been an evolution in Quebec’s interest in these issues since the first week.

Number of Tweets by Riding

In terms of ridgins, changes are to be noted for this week compared to the previous week. While candidates in Timmins-James Bay continue to be very active, there is a greater interest from candidates in other ridings such as Churchil-Keewatinook Aski. We can also note Desnethé-Missinippi Churchill River as one of the ridings where candidates are very involved also this week, unlike the first week. Apart from these aspects, the largest number of tweets published on this subject still concerns ridings mainly located in the northern part of the provinces or in which there is a greater concentration of Indigenous communities.

Content analysis

English Dendrogram

As for the first week, we notice that the term indigenous continues to appear in the tweets, but this time an association is to be made with the candidate theme. This is probably due to the fact that this is the last week for the nomination of candidates in the various parties and that they have been looking for candidates who represent the interests of indigenous peoples. Two other cluster can also be highlighted. In the first one, there is clearly a continuing strong interest in the theme of potable water and housing issues in Indigenous communities. In the second set, we see the emergence of a new theme compared to last week regarding economic development and more specifically the development of employment in communities.

French Dendrogram

The graph below shows that in French two major topic attract attention. The first cluster indicates that an interest in the theme of housing in indigenous communities is still present. In the second cluster, the theme of climate is very clear, which is not a big surprise, since it was the dominant theme of the entire campaign last week. However, there is concern about the impact of climate change on children in communities. This is also not surprising, given the marches held by schoolchildren across Canada. Thus, whether in English or French, the themes of housing and climate caught the attention of the candidates.

Correlation Analysis

This last graph allows us to perform a correlation analysis of the main themes that received attention this week, whether in English or French, and to analyze the most relevant links that emerge. Two large clusters of correlated words emerge through this graph. The first cluster highlights issues related to the National Inquiry of Murdered and Missing Indigenous Women and Girls and the Truth and Reconciliation Commission and emphasizes the obligation to comply with the recommendations of these commissions. In the second set, we see the links between climate, strike (especially considering climate movements organized and supported by children), climate change, emergency. The theme of climate change is again highlighted in our analysis. The correlation analysis therefore confirms what the thematic analysis presented above (Dendrograms). In addition, there are some similarities between different themes (climate, human rights), but also differences such as the theme on social services that is not reflected in this week’s tweets.